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Decoding Trump’s Chaotic Foreign Policy Amid a Claimed “Cold War II”

Niall Ferguson argues that President Donald Trump’s foreign policy appears contradictory, citing recent talks with Russia and China and mixed U.S. aid decisions.

In a recent commentary, Niall Ferguson describes U.S. foreign policy under President Donald Trump as a maze of conflicting moves. He cites a reported joint summit next month between Trump, Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping on the Ukraine war that would proceed without Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. At the same time, Congress approved nearly $2 billion in aid for Ukraine, yet some candidates push to end U.S. funding for Israel’s Iron Dome, which is engaged with Iran.

Ferguson highlights the paradox of allies like Turkey, a NATO member that cooperates with Russia and Iran, and European countries that still import Russian gas. He also mentions public bewilderment over Elon Musk’s decision to limit military-grade Starlink service for Ukraine. The piece questions whether these contradictions stem from strategic calculation or a chaotic leadership style.

How this story developed

  1. Oct 11 Senators from Both Parties Condemn Trump's Plan to Import Russian Diesel
  2. Oct 22 Zelensky said Russia backs a three-way meeting with the United States, which is pushing for an early-November date, even as missile and drone attacks continue.
  3. Oct 22 Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Thursday that Russia hit Kyiv overnight with three ballistic missiles carrying cluster munition warheads.
  4. Oct 22 Elon Musk clarified that the Starshield system is owned by the U.S. government and that any speed restrictions are imposed by the military.
  5. Oct 23 Senator Richard Blumenthal announced a Senate investigation into who authorized the Starshield bandwidth restriction for Ukraine.
  6. Oct 23 Russia announced it is prepared to re‑engage in trilateral peace talks that could be held in Abu Dhabi in the first half of November.
  7. Oct 23 President Trump said Elon Musk had removed the speed limits on Starshield terminals.
  8. Oct 24 Ukraine's Defence Ministry reports Starshield connectivity restored after weeks of throttling.
  9. Oct 24 Only a limited number of units have regained higher‑speed Starshield access, indicating a partial restoration.
  10. Oct 24 Heléne Fritzon launched a petition that gathered over 60 signatures from fellow EU legislators calling for an explanation from the United States over the Starlink speed limits.
  11. Oct 24 Trump signed a diesel trade deal with Russia and temporarily lifted parts of new sanctions.
  12. Oct 25 Russia announced readiness to restart three‑party negotiations with Ukraine and the United States.
  13. Oct 25 Zelensky said Ukraine will not attend the summit unless the existing sanctions on Russia stay in place.
  14. Oct 26 Zelensky confirmed the summit and announced humanitarian missions in Olechky under a short cease‑fire.
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