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Investigation launched into suspicious bets on new White House press secretary

Kalshi is examining a series of oddly timed wagers that correctly anticipated Katie Zacharia's appointment as White House press secretary.

Kalshi has opened an inquiry into a handful of precisely timed bets that accurately forecast Katie Zacharia's rise to the role of White House press secretary. Analysts traced a $19 bet placed around 10:43 p.m. on Thursday and two subsequent wagers of $74 and $80 on Friday, each expected to yield multi-thousand-dollar profits. When asked, a Kalshi spokesperson said the company could not discuss the investigation.

This case adds to a pattern of regulatory attention on prediction markets, including recent actions against Polymarket and a Commodity Futures Trading Commission probe into unusual crypto-related trades. Authorities are monitoring these platforms for potential market manipulation and other illicit activity.

Why it matters

It highlights regulatory concerns about prediction markets being used for insider-type betting on political appointments.

How this story developed

  1. Sep 24 Regional theater chain turns to prediction market to smooth seasonal revenue swings
  2. Oct 4 PitchBook released a valuation estimate for Kalshi ranging from $22.8 billion to $42.1 billion.

In this story

prediction marketKatie ZachariaKalshishady betsinvestigationCFTCPolymarketmarket manipulation
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