Labour surges to 30% in poll after Burnham's Brexit rethink pledge
A new Opinium poll shows Labour leading at 30% after Prime Minister Andy Burnham promised to reassess the UK's post-Brexit EU ties.
According to an Opinium poll, Labour has climbed to the top of the UK political landscape with 30% support, propelled by Prime Minister Andy Burnham's pledge to rethink Britain's post-Brexit relationship with the EU. The poll reveals that 54% of respondents favor Burnham's EU strategy, and 46% say Brexit has done more harm than good. Labour's policy platform, including a tax-funded National Care Service and adjustments to the pension triple lock, also enjoys robust public backing.
Reform UK occupies second place with 25% support, ahead of the Conservatives at 17% and the Green Party at 11%. Burnham is the sole major political figure with a net positive approval rating, recorded at plus eight.
Why it matters
The poll signals a potential shift in voter sentiment toward Labour ahead of upcoming elections.
How this story developed
- Sep 3 Richard Tice condemns Chinese imports while Reform UK merch made in China is on sale
- Sep 4 National Rally leader Jordan Bardella delivered an English speech at Reform UK’s gathering, emphasizing tighter ties with the British party and joint immigration control.
- Sep 4 Reform UK invited Bardella to speak at its Birmingham conference.
- Sep 6 West Midlands Police have issued a call for the protester to come forward to assist their inquiry.
- Sep 7 The memorandum was signed, moving the idea from conference discussion to a formal agreement.
- Sep 18 Liberal Democrat members say the party has stalled since its 2024 election surge and aim to adopt a more aggressive tone at this weekend’s conference.
- Sep 22 YouGov's latest seat-by-seat model indicates Reform UK would secure just 123 seats if a general election were called today, a sharp drop from a similar poll a year ago. Labour is forecast to lead with 241 seats, followed by the Conservatives at 130, while the Liberal Democrats hold steady at 71. The results point to the first hung parliament since the 2010 coalition. Reform also appears to be losing its high-profile MPs Robert Jenrick and Suella Braverman back to the Conservatives. The party's decline follows recent scandals involving alleged off-the-books polling and the suspension of aides Dan Jukes and James Orr, prompting a Met Police investigation.
- Sep 25 A new YouGov poll shows Reform UK level with the Conservatives and behind Labour.
- Sep 27 The party has moved from internal frustration to publicly unveiling a health‑and‑economy platform at its conference.
- Sep 28 Lee Anderson announced a “whip round” to raise funds for the woman struck with a walking stick.
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