Labour tops poll with 32% support as Tories overtake Reform UK
An Ipsos poll shows Labour at 32% support, leading the Tories by eight points, while Reform UK falls to 20% and the Greens to 8%.
A new Ipsos poll taken between 15 and 22 October shows Labour at 32% support, the party’s biggest lead since the 2024 general election, giving it an eight-point advantage over the Conservatives, who are at 24% and have moved into second place for the first time since June last year. Reform UK fell to 20% after a three-point decline, while the Greens slipped to 8% as they grapple with an anti-Semitaism issue following their recent conference.
Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch achieved her highest personal satisfaction rating at 35%, up seven points, and dissatisfaction fell to 39%. Labour leader Andy Burnham saw satisfaction rise to 35% and dissatisfaction drop to 45%. The poll also notes that both Labour and the Conservatives are losing fewer voters to Reform and the Greens, and the government’s net satisfaction score improved to -43, the best since 2022.
Why it matters
The poll indicates shifting voter preferences ahead of upcoming elections, affecting party strategies and policy debates.
How this story developed
- Oct 13 YouGov poll puts Reform back in third place for the first time since early 2024
- Oct 18 The latest poll shows the Conservatives now ahead of Reform UK as the main opposition.
- Oct 19 Official data show more than 200,000 migrants have received indefinite leave to remain in Britain since the government announced stricter rules, while Labour leaders clash over the proposal.
- Oct 23 The Energy Secretary publicly declined to endorse the extended settlement proposal.
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