Marine Le Pen leads 2027 presidential race, Mélenchon reaches runoff in most scenarios

According to a poll conducted online in early September among registered voters, Marine Le Pen commands roughly one-third of voting intentions, placing her comfortably at the top of the 2027 presidential field. Jean-Luc Mélenchon receives between 15.5% and 17% and would advance to the second round in four of six hypothetical contests, including those where Gabriel Attal is the sole centrist candidate. Édouard Philippe, when standing alone for the central bloc, polls at about 17.5% but still lags behind Le Pen and often behind Mélenchon in the modeled runoffs. The study also notes rising public desire for deep societal transformation, with a majority expressing concern and uncertainty about the country's direction.