Poll Shows Casey Askar Ahead in Crowded Florida GOP Primary for Redrawn 22nd District
A poll of likely Republican primary voters in Florida’s newly redrawn 22nd Congressional District gave Casey Askar 16% support, three points ahead of Michael Carbonara and six points ahead of David Burke, while Belinda Keiser trailed by eight points. The poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 4.7 percentage points means the top three candidates remain statistically tied. The same poll showed Terri Hasdorff and Michael Thompson each at about five percent and Richard Evans below one percent. Campaign filings indicate Askar, Carbonara and Keiser have each contributed more than $2 million to their races.
How this was covered
- Right-leaning outlets covered this 26h later
- Left-leaning coverage is the most divided on this story
Why it matters
The race could determine which candidate represents the newly drawn district in Congress.
How this story developed
- Aug 14 Poll Shows Democrat Gray Narrowly Closing Gap with Rep. Luna in Florida Race
- Aug 17 During a weekend broadcast, Oliver Larkin, running for the U.S. House in Florida's 25th District, asserted that Israel was carrying out genocide, citing the United Nations and human-rights groups. Host Glenna Milberg countered, stating the claim was factually incorrect under the UN definition. After a brief exchange, Milberg announced the segment was ending, and the interview concluded abruptly. Larkin’s campaign has not responded to inquiries about the cut-short interview.
- Aug 17 Donald Trump mailed his ballot for the Florida Republican primary, which includes contests for governor and U.S. Senate.
- Aug 18 New poll shows Casey Askar holding a slim lead among multiple candidates in the 22nd District Republican primary.
- Aug 18 Florida's primary elections feature a historic Black Republican gubernatorial candidate and a crowded Democratic field, while both parties gauge Donald Trump's influence in the state.
- Aug 18 The poll also recorded Terri Hasdorff, Michael Thompson and Richard Evans receiving low single‑digit support.
- Aug 18 The primary has taken place, confirming Donalds’s lead and adding a high‑profile celebrity endorsement.
- Aug 18 Byron Donalds announced his run for governor, triggering a crowded primary for his congressional seat.
- Aug 18 A new poll shows Ryan Elijah leading Cory Mills in the GOP primary.
- Aug 18 The administration has asked the Supreme Court to intervene in the legal challenges to the mail‑in ballot order.
- Aug 19 Socialist state Rep. Angie Nixon beat Alex Vindman in Florida’s Democratic Senate primary and will face Republican Sen. Ashley Moody in November.
- Aug 19 Nixon's primary victory sets up a general‑election contest against Republican Senator Ashley Moody.
- Aug 19 Trump publicly asked Cory Mills to drop out of the race and gave his full endorsement to Ryan Elijah.
- Aug 19 The Democratic primary between Moskowitz and Larkin has been held.
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