Polls show PQ surging toward majority as CAQ support plummets ahead of Quebec vote

With just seven days before Quebec’s provincial election, three polls suggest the Parti Québécois could capture a majority, propelled by leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon’s campaign in the Eastern Townships. The governing Coalition Avenir Québec has slumped to about 16% support in a Léger poll, ranking fourth behind the PQ, Quebec Liberals and Conservatives, and a Route127.ca projection even forecasts the CAQ winning no seats.

CAQ leader Christine Fréchette attributed the decline partly to a weekend controversy after a staffer urged journalists to reference a fringe American think-tank promoting separatist destabilisation, a move she says occurred without her knowledge. Liberal leader Charles Milliard seized on the episode, arguing it disqualifies the CAQ and positions his party as the stable alternative. Conservative leader Éric Duhaime warned his party would be the only force able to block a PQ-driven sovereignty push, while the PQ promises a 2029 referendum. Despite the bleak numbers, Fréchette maintains the CAQ can rebound before voters head to the polls.