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Rise of far-right parties threatens Europe's defence spending and Ukraine aid

Growing support for far-right parties across several EU states is prompting NATO officials to warn that public backing for higher defence budgets and aid to Ukraine could erode.

The surge in popularity of far-right parties in a dozen European countries is raising alarms within NATO about dwindling public support for higher defence outlays and continued aid to Ukraine. Parties in France, Italy, Belgium, Germany, Poland and Romania are exploiting inflation and rising living costs to argue against military spending and EU-wide defence projects. Leaders like Marine Le Pen have urged limits on Ukrainian assistance, while Italy’s Roberto Vannacci has questioned the justification for current defence budgets.

A poll by the ECFR shows less than half of respondents would back defence tax hikes, with strongest resistance in Germany, France, Italy, Spain and Poland. NATO officials fear that a slowdown in spending by major contributors such as France and Italy could stall the alliance’s 5% GDP target for 2035 and weaken its deterrence posture toward Russia.

Why it matters

Shifts in voter sentiment could curb defence funding, affecting NATO’s ability to counter Russian aggression and support Ukraine.

How this story developed

  1. Oct 5 Trump announces plan for permanent U.S. military base in Poland
  2. Oct 7 Trump publicly announced the plan for a permanent U.S. base in Poland.

In this story

far-right partiesdefence spendingUkraine aidNATOpublic opinioncost of livingEU defence projectstax hikesRussiaEuropean elections
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