Swedish political analysts map nine possible coalition paths for Magdalena Andersson

Following the September 13 vote, the Riksdag speaker appointed Magdalena Andersson as sonderingsperson, giving her the first chance to negotiate a governing arrangement. While she refuses to work with the Sweden Democrats, she remains open to all other parties, though the Left Party insists on ministerial posts. Scholars list nine plausible outcomes, including a three-party minority with the Centre and Greens supported by the Left, a four-party government that would need the Centre to drop its opposition to Left ministers, and various minority or support-only models involving the Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals or Sweden Democrats.

A return to a single-party Social Democrat minority, a centrist coalition led by the Centre, or even a grand coalition of Social Democrats and Moderates are also discussed. The feasibility of each hinges on policy concessions, especially on fiscal reforms and public-service ownership, and on the parties’ willingness to compromise on ministerial composition.