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Trump erupts after Supreme Court blocks mail-in scheme as polls show widening Democratic lead

Donald Trump lashed out on Truth Social after the Supreme Court halted his plan to use the Postal Service to influence the midterms, while a new poll shows Democrats up eight points in the generic House ballot and losing Latino support.

Donald Trump reacted angrily on Truth Social, calling the Supreme Court’s rejection of his plan to use the Postal Service to sway the midterms a "huge loss" for Republicans. A newly released poll shows Democrats leading the generic House ballot 51 percent to 43 percent, an eight-point gap that analysts say signals a potential blue wave. The same survey indicates Trump’s support among Hispanic voters has collapsed, with Democrats ahead 68-25 in the generic matchup and 70 percent of Latinos disapproving of him.

Commentators tied the polling trends to high energy costs, inflation and the president’s focus on foreign issues like the Iran conflict. Republican strategists worry about a widening enthusiasm gap and note that super-PACs such as MAGA Inc. are pouring money into negative ads, though recent court rulings have leveled ad-buying rules. Despite these challenges, many Democratic candidates are maintaining or expanding leads in their races.

Why it matters

The poll shows Democrats gaining momentum and Trump’s tactics losing traction, shaping the upcoming midterm outcomes.

How this story developed

  1. Aug 15 Trump aides say president reluctant to campaign for down-ballot Republicans
  2. Sep 10 Major broadcasters are limiting live coverage of the convention due to a clash with NFL opening‑weekend games.
  3. Sep 10 Trump boosted Michael Whatley, the former RNC chair and GOP Senate nominee in North Carolina, and said Governor Roy Cooper did nothing to help after Hurricane Helene.
  4. Sep 10 $49 million was earmarked by the No Going Back PAC for six Senate and one House races.
  5. Sep 10 Vice‑president JD Vance will give the keynote address tonight at the RNC event in Dallas.
  6. Sep 10 Fetterman recorded the video standing before a steel mill and labeled himself a “common‑sense Democrat” opposing socialism and extreme politics.
  7. Sep 10 At the closing day of the GOP midterm convention in Dallas, Donald Trump and JD Vance promoted a $5,000 payment to every adult if Republicans keep Congress, while legal battles over Missouri’s congressional map and mail-ballot rules continued.
  8. Sep 11 Vice President JD Vance took the main speaking slot, signaling a potential succession plan ahead of the November vote.
  9. Sep 11 Vance hinted at a possible 2028 presidential bid.
  10. Sep 11 Analysts reclassified the contest as a toss‑up with Talarico outspending Paxton by roughly seven‑fold.
  11. Sep 12 Some GOP candidates chose to skip the convention, distancing themselves from Trump.
  12. Sep 12 Trump said tariff revenue would fund the payout and that the Iran conflict would conclude after the midterm election.
  13. Sep 15 Decision Desk HQ released new simulations that now rate the Senate as a pure toss‑up and raise the Democrats’ projected chance to win the House to 67 %.
  14. Sep 16 A post-convention poll showed Democrats ahead on the generic ballot.

In this story

Donald TrumpDemocratic leadmail-in ballotSupreme Court rulingLatino shiftmidterm electionsMAGA IncRepublican fundraising
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