Trump’s 2024 win rides Hispanic, youth and Black gains as Democrats lose ground

Trump’s 2024 victory was partially driven by gains among three key Democratic-leaning blocs: 41% of Hispanic voters, 46% of young adults and 15% of Black voters now favor him, according to a Marquette survey. While a majority of young and Hispanic respondents still disapprove of Trump, they intend to back Democratic candidates in their districts, whereas only 69% of Black respondents say they will vote Democratic, a 21-point decline from Biden’s 2020 share.

In Michigan, newly nominated Democrat Abdul El-Sayed trails Biden among Black voters by 18 points, likely due to his far-left agenda, while other states show varied erosion—Ossoff in Georgia trails by 10 points and Talarico in Texas by a similar margin. The article also notes that Senate races in Michigan and Texas have become toss-ups, with former Rep. Mike Rogers narrowly ahead of El-Sayed in polls, and that gubernatorial contests in Texas, Alaska and Minnesota are shifting toward greater competitiveness. Overall, the piece highlights the challenges the Democratic Party faces in re-engaging core constituencies as the election approaches.