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UNICEF warns unprecedented El Niño could endanger millions of Latin American children

UNICEF says the upcoming El Niño, projected to be the strongest on record, threatens the lives of millions of children across Latin America with severe droughts and floods.

UNICEF has issued an alert that the forthcoming El Niño is on track to become the most powerful ever recorded, endangering the wellbeing of millions of children throughout Latin America. The phenomenon, officially recognized in June, is expected to reach its apex between October and December, bringing a combination of severe drought and violent storms to regions already grappling with high vulnerability. The organization’s report puts the number of children and adolescents at risk at 25.8 million, citing threats of food insecurity, malnutrition and disrupted access to clean water.

Specific countries face distinct challenges: Central American nations such as Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras and Nicaragua risk crop failures, while parts of Bolivia, Colombia, Chile and Venezuela could see a rise in wildfires, and Amazonian communities may become isolated by falling river levels. In the Caribbean, the situation could worsen crises in Cuba and Haiti, and the Pacific coasts of Mexico and South America risk flood damage to schools and health facilities. UNICEF has requested $53.8 million for emergency response but has only received half of that amount to date.

How this story developed

  1. Aug 31 UN warns that a record-breaking El Niño could trigger worldwide extreme weather
  2. Sep 3 UN says the El Niño is expected to remain in place until February 2027.
  3. Sep 5 Czech forecasts include a possible rapid temperature rise to around 30 °C early next week.
  4. Sep 7 Britain announced cuts of more than 80 % to bilateral aid in eight African states.
  5. Sep 7 UK models show a higher likelihood of stormier, wetter conditions during autumn and winter.
  6. Sep 9 A brief spell of 27‑28 °C heat is expected in southeast England on Sunday.
  7. Sep 9 The contiguous United States experienced its warmest June-August period on record, with an average temperature of 74.4°F, according to NOAA.
  8. Sep 10 August 2026 set a new all‑time monthly heat record and drought drove the two biggest western water reservoirs to their lowest historic levels.
  9. Sep 13 Forecasts now show showers spreading across the west and east of the UK by Tuesday, following the brief heat spike.
  10. Sep 20 New forecasts show London reaching about 24 °C by Monday and showers expected in Manchester from Thursday.
  11. Sep 21 The system, now classified as a hurricane, is positioned about 270 miles south-southeast of Manzanillo and 190 miles south-southwest of Zihuatanejo, with sustained winds of 80 mph. Forecasts suggest it could reach major-hurricane strength by Tuesday and maintain a trajectory offshore while dumping 4-8 inches of rain across Guerrero and Michoacan through Thursday. Tourist hubs such as Acapulco, Puerto Vallarta and Guadalajara may experience rough seas and gusty conditions, and the moisture could trigger flash-flood threats in the U.S. Southwest later in the week.
  12. Sep 23 Polo intensified to Category 5 with maximum sustained winds of 175 mph.
  13. Sep 24 Authorities opened shelters and deployed thousands of military and Red Cross personnel to assist affected communities.
  14. Sep 29 Probability estimates now place a greater than 90% chance that the El Niño will remain very strong through February 2027.
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