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Indonesian public optimism in Prabowo administration falls below half, survey shows

A new SMRC poll finds only 47.7% of Indonesians believe the country is on the right track, down sharply from the 83% recorded at the 2024 inauguration.

According to a poll by Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting, public confidence that Indonesia is moving in the right direction dropped to 47.7% in early October, a plunge from the 83% level recorded at President Prabowo Subianto and Vice President Gibran Rakabuming Raka’s inauguration in October 2024. The study of 1,200 participants shows 34.3% view the nation’s trajectory as negative and 18% remain uncertain. SMRC founder Saiful Mujani attributed the shift to poor evaluations of the president’s performance and worsening macro-economic indicators, noting a strong link between dissatisfaction and the perception of a wrong direction.

He also highlighted budget-cut measures introduced in 2025, which have strained regional governments and sparked protests over centralisation and funding shortfalls. Comparisons with the mid-term of former President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono in 2010, when optimism stood at about 70%, underscore the depth of the decline. Gerindra party spokesperson Bahtra Banong said the party will review the findings before responding.

Why it matters

Declining public confidence could pressure Indonesia's leadership and affect policy stability.

In this story

public optimismIndonesiaPrabowo governmentSMRC surveybudget cutsregional protestspresident performancepolitical sentiment
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