Makhzen faction allegedly coordinated Ceuta border influx to pressure EU talks

The Strategic Intelligence Report authored by José María Gil Garre, based on declassified files, army intercepts and human sources from Spain, Morocco and the PSOE, alleges that a Makhzen faction with command over Moroccan gendarmes deliberately orchestrated the massive entry into Ceuta in late July. The document argues the move was a calculated tool to influence the upcoming bilateral treaty between Morocco and the European Union, seeking full recognition of Ceuta and Melilla as part of the EU’s North African frontier.

Intelligence agencies in both countries reportedly agree that Rabat aimed to force this outcome while also boosting internal prestige during the throne celebration and succession planning. Spanish agencies, including the CNI, had identified an elevated risk from the second half of June, yet the Spanish government failed to conduct a formal scenario analysis or pre-emptive measures, responding only after the city was already overwhelmed. The report also notes internal contradictions within the Spanish ruling party, with some PSOE officials privately acknowledging Moroccan responsibility while publicly defending Rabat.