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NATO deputy warns Putin’s recklessness could test alliance as Ukraine war stalls

NATO’s European deputy commander said Vladimir Putin is becoming increasingly reckless and may try to provoke the alliance as the war in Ukraine drags on.

At a security forum in Estonia, NATO’s deputy supreme commander for Europe, Sir John Stringer, warned that President Vladimir Putin is adopting a more reckless stance as the Ukraine conflict stalls, seeking to split the Western alliance. He highlighted a “febrile environment” in which Moscow could provoke an overreaction by staging ambiguous drone or missile incidents that blur the line between accident and intent. European leaders, including Poland’s Donald Tusk and France’s Emmanuel Macron, have urged preparations to shield critical infrastructure from potential drone and cyber attacks.

Recent covert actions attributed to Russia range from an explosive-laden drone at Leipzig airport to a foiled sabotage plot at a British drone factory, as well as fires and explosions in Estonia and Bulgaria. Stringer and Estonia’s prime minister, Kristen Michal, said these activities stem from Western support for Ukraine rather than NATO failures, and that a full conventional attack on Europe remains unlikely while Russian forces are tied up in Ukraine. The overall message was that Russia’s malign activity will persist until its war aims change, and the best deterrent is continued backing for Kyiv.

Why it matters

The warning signals heightened Russian aggression that could destabilize European security and test NATO’s unity.

How this story developed

  1. Sep 15 Von der Leyen condemns Russia after flare attack on Danish helicopter and drone shoot-down in Lithuania
  2. Sep 17 Speaking in Presov before a trip to Kyiv, Fico described the Russia-Ukraine war as out of control and warned that a Europe-wide clash is more likely than ever. He emphasized Slovakia’s NATO membership but insisted he will act to keep the country out of any armed response triggered by Article 5. The leader also accused European capitals of seeking a pretext for a larger NATO-Russia confrontation. His remarks come ahead of a regional summit in western Ukraine that will host leaders from several neighboring states.
  3. Sep 21 Czech President Petr Pavel’s war‑like comments sparked a rebuke from Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico.
  4. Sep 22 European intelligence services warned that Russia could conduct limited incursions or false‑flag operations to test NATO’s collective defence within months.

In this story

PutinNATORussiaUkraine warcovert attacksdrone sabotageWestern allianceEuropean securityrisk-accepting behavior
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