Right-wing coalition gains a fleeting edge as seats swing back and forth
Swedish seat projections show the four parties behind the Tidö agreement briefly overtaking the opposition, then losing the lead again within minutes.
According to the latest projection, the four parties forming the Tidö agreement—Moderaterna, Sverigedemokraterna, Kristdemokraterna and Liberalerna—took one seat from the opposition, briefly giving the right-wing bloc a 175-174 advantage. Within a few minutes the opposition recovered the seat, restoring a 176-173 lead for the left-green side, before the Tidö parties reclaimed it again, returning the margin to 175-174. The seat exchanges have been described as “wildly jumping.”
Final counts from larger municipalities such as Stockholm, Gothenburg, Malmö and Luleå have not yet been added, and results from those areas are expected by Thursday. As of the evening update, the projection suggests the right-wing coalition’s hopes are alive but still uncertain.
Why it matters
The shifting seat balance could determine which bloc forms Sweden's next government.
How this story developed
- Sep 2 Swedish vote narrows as ruling bloc closes gap with left ahead of Sept 13 poll
- Sep 5 The latest Novus poll shows the opposition lead narrowed to 2.6 points.
- Sep 8 Sweden's right-wing government is paying non-EU residents up to 350,000 crowns to voluntarily depart as the September election nears.
- Sep 11 Indikator poll shows the centre-left opposition narrowly ahead of the governing coalition by 3.2 points.
- Sep 12 Kristersson told supporters that a right‑wing victory would bring the Sweden Democrats into his government.
- Sep 13 The Sweden Democrats have proposed extending the cash‑for‑exit offer to Swedish citizens who would renounce their nationality.
- Sep 13 Polling stations opened at 8:00 a.m. on Sunday as voting began across the country.
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