Tight race as one seat flips from opposition to government bloc
A late-counted vote shifted a parliamentary seat from the opposition to the governing coalition, narrowing the gap to a single seat.
With the majority of districts already reported, a late-counted vote moved a seat from the opposition to the Tidö-aligned bloc, tightening the parliamentary balance to 175 seats for the government side and 174 for the opposition. The remaining districts, primarily overseas and late-vote precincts, still contain a large share of the outstanding ballots. Gustav Karreskog Rehbinder, who compiled the election forecast, warned that unusual shifts might emerge from these districts, especially if they heavily favor the Tidö side, but he considers a complete comeback improbable.
The election authority indicated that a preliminary result may not be available until Thursday, and a final, certified outcome will follow a week after the vote. All remaining districts will be counted as quickly as possible, according to the authority's press secretary.
Why it matters
The seat change narrows the parliamentary majority, affecting the balance of power in the new legislature.
How this story developed
- Sep 2 Swedish vote narrows as ruling bloc closes gap with left ahead of Sept 13 poll
- Sep 5 The latest Novus poll shows the opposition lead narrowed to 2.6 points.
- Sep 8 Sweden's right-wing government is paying non-EU residents up to 350,000 crowns to voluntarily depart as the September election nears.
- Sep 11 Indikator poll shows the centre-left opposition narrowly ahead of the governing coalition by 3.2 points.
- Sep 12 Kristersson told supporters that a right‑wing victory would bring the Sweden Democrats into his government.
- Sep 13 The Sweden Democrats have proposed extending the cash‑for‑exit offer to Swedish citizens who would renounce their nationality.
- Sep 13 Polling stations opened at 8:00 a.m. on Sunday as voting began across the country.
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